Arizona has voted with the Republican Party nine times out of the last ten elections; the only time that it voted with the Democratic Party was in the 1996 election, where Bill Clinton won. At the end of September, when we first looked at the swing states, Clinton was trailing Trump in Arizona, though not by much.
Now however, in many of the polls taken in Arizona, Clinton is leading over Trump. According to Real Clear Politics, her lead in the state was wider a few weeks ago, but has now decreased slightly. Her lead in different polls varies from +.6 to +5, however, Real Clear Politics has her at a +.6 lead. Michelle Obama has visited Arizona in the last few weeks, and Clinton is going there this week in an effort to win the state.
The Best of the Worst of 2016 